North Sea weather: Changeable conditions over the North Sea

Tue 28 January 2025

1 minute read

Figure 1: Uncertain conditions from 28th January to 2nd February.

This week begins dynamically, with a low-pressure system impacting the North Sea. Developments later in the week remain uncertain. While high pressure is expected to stabilize the atmosphere, new disturbances are anticipated to influence the North Sea weather. However, models have yet to agree on the timing and intensity of these systems.

A complex low-pressure system over the North Sea is gradually moving northeast into Scandinavia. On Wednesday, a secondary low is expected to develop just north of Viking and subsequently move into the Norwegian Sea. A ridge of high pressure will shift eastward across the North Sea on Thursday, quickly followed by a frontal trough, primarily affecting the northern North Sea on Friday. Another ridge of high pressure is anticipated on Saturday, while the next frontal system might pass on Sunday.

These variable conditions result in medium to low confidence in the wind and wave forecasts for the upcoming week, so it's advisable to closely monitor successive updates. The influence of high pressure may provide workable weather windows, especially towards the end of the week.

Significant wave heights are expected to remain below 3.5 meters throughout the week. In the southern North Sea, wave heights will decrease to values below 2 meters later in the week.

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